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Your Predictions On The Election

 
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Your Predictions On The Election - 11/3/2008 2:35:06 PM   
rebelman


Posts: 111
Joined: 1/11/2006
From: Georgia
Status: offline
I really don't want this to be a fight as most of these tend to be. But more of a guess how the states will swing tomorrow based on your knowledge of the states, the polls you've seen, demographics, etc.

Some sights like Real Clear Politics let you generate a map which will calculate the electoral college for you. If you want to do that, feel free to, makes the thread colorful

Here are the major swing states: Especially take a guess on these.

Florida

Missouri

North Carolina

Virginia

Pennsylvania

Ohio

New Hampshire

Indiana

Colorado

If there are any other states you want to add or comment on please do so. Yall place nice!

_____________________________

"My grace is sufficient for you, for my power is made perfect in weakness"-----2 Corinthians 12:9
Post #: 1
RE: Your Predictions On The Election - 11/3/2008 2:42:45 PM   
landabee


Posts: 2760
Joined: 4/11/2005
From: Central Florida
Status: offline
quote:

Here are the major swing states: Especially take a guess on these.


Florida: McCain

Missouri: Obama

North Carolina :Obama

Virginia :Obama

Pennsylvania :Obama

Ohio :Obama

New Hampshire:Obama

Indiana :McCain

Colorado :Obama

Will check back Wednesday to see how I close I called it.

_____________________________



"Sound theology discourages ignorance instead of promoting it." ~ CourdeLeon
Post #: 2
RE: Your Predictions On The Election - 11/3/2008 3:51:53 PM   
laura...


Posts: 2921
Joined: 3/1/2005
From: NE Ohio
Status: offline
If all the states on the NPR map vote as the polls indicate, Obama will win. BUT, if the states that are just leaning towards Obama but voted Bush in the last election go to McCain (and McCain retains all the states already marked as his and leaning toward McCain) then McCain will win.

Given that, I really can't predict.

McCain's campaign has been hitting hard here in Ohio over the weekend. It's seems to be effective since last week Ohio was marked as leaning towards Obama and now it's marked as leaning toward McCain.

_____________________________

This is what the Lord says: “Stop at the crossroads and look around. Ask for the old, godly way, and walk in it. Travel its path, and you will find rest for your souls. But you reply, ‘No, that’s not the road we want!’ Jer 6:16
Post #: 3
RE: Your Predictions On The Election - 11/3/2008 4:00:27 PM   
Zhi


Posts: 1501
Joined: 7/31/2007
Status: online
I can only talk specifically about Colorado because I have firsthand experience, but... I would say it's going to be very, very close. I think we might swing toward McCain but it wouldn't surprise me if we went with Obama. I mostly base that on the fact that the troops lean McCain, we have a LOT of people registered here in the military, and they never get polled but tend to vote at high numbers. It would not surprise me if our state is embroiled in random litigation for a while though (because I think it's really gonna be THAT close.) It would surprise me if both the senate race and presidential race went to the same party.

In general, I am DELIGHTED to predict that the election and campaign ads will be OVER when I wake up Wednesday.



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The optimist says the glass is half full. The pessimist says the glass is half empty. The engineer says the glass is twice as large as it needs to be.
Post #: 4
RE: Your Predictions On The Election - 11/3/2008 4:21:08 PM   
rnershigh

 

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From: somewhere over the rainbow
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I don't know about the other states.
I live in Virginia.
I think it could still go either way, it's very close.
I have noticed a lot more McCain ads lately and I think McCain has focused more on this state in the past week or so, he was just here on Saturday for a rally and thousands attended.

_____________________________

O Grave! where is thy Victory?
O Death! where is thy Sting?
Post #: 5
RE: Your Predictions On The Election - 11/3/2008 4:28:06 PM   
Acts29

 

Posts: 374
Joined: 1/14/2007
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quote:

ORIGINAL: rnershigh

I don't know about the other states.
I live in Virginia.
I think it could still go either way, it's very close.
I have noticed a lot more McCain ads lately and I think McCain has focused more on this state in the past week or so, he was just here on Saturday for a rally and thousands attended.


I would like to think that the military vote in Virginia would swing to McCain.
Post #: 6
RE: Your Predictions On The Election - 11/3/2008 4:30:10 PM   
laura...


Posts: 2921
Joined: 3/1/2005
From: NE Ohio
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Acts29

quote:

ORIGINAL: rnershigh

I don't know about the other states.
I live in Virginia.
I think it could still go either way, it's very close.
I have noticed a lot more McCain ads lately and I think McCain has focused more on this state in the past week or so, he was just here on Saturday for a rally and thousands attended.


I would like to think that the military vote in Virginia would swing to McCain.


Virginia voted Bush in '04.

_____________________________

This is what the Lord says: “Stop at the crossroads and look around. Ask for the old, godly way, and walk in it. Travel its path, and you will find rest for your souls. But you reply, ‘No, that’s not the road we want!’ Jer 6:16
Post #: 7
RE: Your Predictions On The Election - 11/3/2008 4:34:13 PM   
rnershigh

 

Posts: 869
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From: somewhere over the rainbow
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But Northern Virginia is much more liberal than the rest of the state.
Fairfax County alone surpassed the 1 million mark in population a few years ago.
It is also the richest area in Virginia, it has grown more urbanized...more liberal.
I know there are pockets of conservatives in Northern Virginia, I've seen the McCain yard signs and bumper stickers but I see just as many Obama ones too.

I hope it goes to McCain but our current governor is a Democrat.
2 years ago the Republican incumbent senator lost his seat to a newcomer Democrat.
The other Senator is retiring, he's a Republican and the chances are very good that the Democrat challenger Mark Warner will win the seat over Republican candidate John Gilmore (both are former governors too).

So Obama still has a very good chance of winning this state.

_____________________________

O Grave! where is thy Victory?
O Death! where is thy Sting?
Post #: 8
RE: Your Predictions On The Election - 11/3/2008 4:39:01 PM   
Acts29

 

Posts: 374
Joined: 1/14/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: rnershigh

But Northern Virginia is much more liberal than the rest of the state.
Fairfax County alone surpassed the 1 million mark in population a few years ago.
It is also the richest area in Virginia, it has grown more urbanized...more liberal.
I know there are pockets of conservatives in Northern Virginia, I've seen the McCain yard signs and bumper stickers but I see just as many Obama ones too.

I hope it goes to McCain but our current governor is a Democrat.
2 years ago the Republican incumbent senator lost his seat to a newcomer Democrat.
The other Senator is retiring, he's a Republican and the chances are very good that the Democrat challenger Mark Warner will win the seat over Republican candidate John Gilmore (both are former governors too).

So Obama still has a very good chance of winning this state.


True, but northern Va and eastern portion of Virginia are heavily military. Southwest Va. is conservative in thinking but they will vote for a democrat.
Post #: 9
RE: Your Predictions On The Election - 11/3/2008 4:46:49 PM   
Evangel70


Posts: 550
Joined: 10/28/2006
Status: offline
Here are the major swing states: Especially take a guess on these.

Florida - McCain

Missouri - McCain

North Carolina - McCain (surprised it's a toss up)

Virginia - McCain (This is my home state - May still go for Obama)

Pennsylvania - Obama (McCain wasted his money here)

Ohio - This is a toughy......I'm guessing Obama

New Hampshire - Obama

Indiana - McCain

Colorado - Also a tough one. I'm guessing Obama

If they call Florida and Virginia for Obama early on, the race is over for McCain.

_____________________________

May the God who gives endurance and encouragement give you a spirit of unity among yourselves as you follow Christ Jesus, so that with one heart and mouth you may glorify the God and Father of our Lord Jesus Christ.
Post #: 10
RE: Your Predictions On The Election - 11/3/2008 5:02:43 PM   
luvmy3kids


Posts: 150
Joined: 10/26/2008
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: rebelman

I really don't want this to be a fight as most of these tend to be. But more of a guess how the states will swing tomorrow based on your knowledge of the states, the polls you've seen, demographics, etc.

Some sights like Real Clear Politics let you generate a map which will calculate the electoral college for you. If you want to do that, feel free to, makes the thread colorful

Here are the major swing states: Especially take a guess on these.

Florida

Missouri

North Carolina

Virginia

Pennsylvania

Ohio

New Hampshire

Indiana

Colorado

If there are any other states you want to add or comment on please do so. Yall place nice!


You are talking battleground states? You forgot NV. that is my state. It's too close to tell. From the polls it has Obama winning but it has error and they really could be neck to neck.

_____________________________

Luvmy3Kids
Post #: 11
RE: Your Predictions On The Election - 11/4/2008 3:41:28 PM   
letusreason


Posts: 869
Joined: 8/30/2008
Status: offline
Great thread but how bout this if you want to show your prediction more graphically.

Use mine to change what you want.

http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/president/whos-ahead/key-states/map.html#/map=CGD1E

you can change the map to show and share your predictions.

First click "Your Map" on menu at top.

Then click on states to change their color.

Then click blue button on lower left to get link to your map.

McCain definately gets OH, but not sure about CO, NH , or VA (especially with the military vote debacle).

edited: One more thing I forgot to say, why in the world was Obama out in Iowa a few days ago? I thought that was supposed to be a lock. Of course the MSM didn't report this.

< Message edited by letusreason -- 11/4/2008 3:52:11 PM >
Post #: 12
RE: Your Predictions On The Election - 11/4/2008 4:09:23 PM   
Peter_Gunn

 

Posts: 706
Joined: 6/12/2008
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Zhi

I mostly base that on the fact that the troops lean McCain, we have a LOT of people registered here in the military, and they never get polled but tend to vote at high numbers.


Ummm...about those military votes...the ones abroad, anyway...
Post #: 13
RE: Your Predictions On The Election - 11/4/2008 9:50:54 PM   
IMA_CHRISTIAN


Posts: 1700
Joined: 1/23/2006
Status: offline
well its 200 to 90....

i cant stand the suspense


anyone can still win! its not over till its over. I thought they'd have it tabulated by now.

_____________________________

Just give us peace, Lord.
Post #: 14
RE: Your Predictions On The Election - 11/4/2008 9:54:07 PM   
sue244


Posts: 410
Joined: 6/7/2006
From: Colorado
Status: offline
At this point I just want Colorado to stay red and for the Democrats to have less then 60 seats in the Senate.
I will not be a happy person if Colorado lets Boulder ruin it.

_____________________________

"Indeed I Tremble for this country when I reflect that God is Just and His Justice cannot Sleep Forever"
Jefferson
"Never yield to force; never yield to the apparently overwhelming might of the enemy.” Churchill
Post #: 15
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